Igor Barani

Igor Barani works on typography, design and artificial intelligence. He writes mathematics in which every step carries its reason. His day job is radiation oncology.

0hOrigin

The problem

Where do you measure from?

The answer

From a point that can be named and found again. Every other place gets its address from there.

  1. The sky is measured from the first point of Aries.

    BecauseThat is where the Sun crosses the celestial equator, heading north, at the March equinox. Anyone can find it again by observation, so it serves as zero.

  2. The point has left the Ram. It now lies in Pisces.

    BecauseEarth's axis turns slowly, once in about 26,000 years, and carries the equinox west along the zodiac. This turning is called precession. The point was named more than two thousand years ago, when it lay in Aries, and the name stayed.

  3. A letter is measured from the baseline.

    BecauseEvery letter in a line stands on it, so heights are counted up from there: the x-height, the cap height, the ascenders. Descenders are counted down.

  4. A radiosurgery plan is measured from a frame.

    BecauseA frame fixed to the head defines x, y and z. In the Leksell system the frame's center is set at 100, 100, 100 millimeters, so every point inside the head has a positive address.

Three zeros. The sky's, where the ecliptic crosses the celestial equator. The letter's, the baseline of Barani Sans, with its x-height, cap height and descender in units of the em. The Leksell frame's, at one corner, so that the frame's center reads 100, 100, 100 mm. Schematic.

Another way

Measure from the observer instead, by height above the horizon and compass bearing.

BecauseThat address changes every minute as the sky turns, and it differs from town to town. Atlases measure from the first point so that one address serves everyone.

Check

At the March equinox the Sun stands at the first point of Aries, so its right ascension and declination are both zero. The line on the opening page shows how high that point stands over Phoenix right now.

KeepMeasure from a point you can find again.

Igor Barani

Igor Barani designs type and figures, builds with artificial intelligence, writes about healthcare, and makes the With Every Reason mathematics books. By day he is a radiation oncologist who treats only tumors of the brain and spine, and Professor and Chairman of Radiation Oncology at Barrow Neurological Institute in Phoenix, Arizona.

A note on the chart. The star names bundled with d3-celestial, the open atlas behind this chart, list 33 Arietis as Barani. It is a faint double star in the Ram, the small ringed star northeast of Hamal. The International Astronomical Union has not adopted that name. In 2017 it gave the similar name Bharani, a lunar mansion of Hindu astronomy, to the neighboring star 41 Arietis.

Notes

1hTypography

The problem

How large must the type on a slide be for the back row to read it as easily as a book?

The answer

Large enough that each letter makes the same angle at the back row as book type makes at reading distance. With the back row six screen-heights away, that is about 27-point type on a standard 16:9 slide.

  1. Measure type by the angle it makes at the eye.

    BecauseA letter twice as far away looks half as tall. The eye judges the angle, not the size on the page.

  2. Take book type as the standard: its x-height makes about 0.24° at 40 cm.

    BecauseLegge and Bigelow measured printed books and found that average. At 40 cm it is an x-height of about 1.7 mm.

  3. Carry the angle to the back row.

    BecauseSix screen-heights away, an angle of 0.24° spans 6 × tan 0.24° = 2.5% of the screen's height. The size of the hall drops out; only the ratio of distance to screen height counts.

  4. Turn the fraction into points.

    BecauseA 16:9 slide is 7.5 inches, or 540 points, tall. 2.5% of 540 is 13.6 points of x-height, and in a face whose x-height is about half its size, that is 27-point type.

  5. Treat 22 points as the floor.

    BecauseBelow an x-height of about 0.2°, reading slows even for good eyes. From six screen-heights, 0.2° is 22-point type.

The same angle at the eye. A book letter at 40 cm and a slide letter at the back row fill it equally. Not to scale.

Another way

Test the slide on a laptop. Step back to six times the height of the laptop's screen and read it from there.

BecauseThe angle depends only on distance divided by screen height, so the laptop at six heights shows what the back row will see.

Check

Work back from the answer. 27-point type has an x-height of about 13.5 points, which is 2.5% of the slide's 540. On a screen 3 meters tall that is 75 mm, and 75 mm seen from 18 meters makes 0.24°.

KeepSize type by the angle at the back row.

Type at work

Igor Barani is making a type family for the With Every Reason books. Barani Serif adapts EB Garamond, and Barani Sans adapts Hanken Grotesk, with forms that keep 1, l and I, and 0 and O, apart for children. He also sets his own slide system for scientific talks and the themes of the editor he writes code in.

This site is set in Doto, a dot-matrix face by Óliver Lalan, with Hanken Grotesk, the base of Barani Sans, for reading.

Notes

2hDesign

The problem

A figure carries more ink than its data needs. What should go first?

The answer

Every mark that tells the reader nothing about the data. Delete first, and refine only what is left.

  1. Name every mark on the figure.

    BecauseA mark that has not been named cannot be judged.

  2. Ask what each mark tells the reader about the data.

    BecauseEdward Tufte called the ink that shows data the data-ink. All other ink competes with it for the eye.

  3. Delete the marks that tell nothing.

    BecauseThe box around the plot, the background grid and the drop shadows each draw the eye and carry no value.

  4. Replace the legend with labels at the ends of the lines.

    BecauseThe reader then looks once instead of twice: at the line, not at the line and then the key.

  5. Only now refine what remains: weight, spacing, alignment.

    BecauseRefining a mark that should have been deleted is wasted work.

The same two series, before and after. Nothing was added; the frame, grid, shadows, markers and legend were deleted, and the lines were labeled directly. Example data.

Another way

Build from nothing. Start with the data alone, and add a mark only when the figure fails without it.

BecauseIt is the same test run in the other direction, and it never lets clutter in.

Check

Cover each remaining mark with a finger. If the figure still says the same thing, that mark can go too.

KeepDelete first. Refine what is left.

Design at work

Igor Barani holds his figures to the standard of a Nature review: uncluttered, labeled directly, and clear when projected for a room. He prefers drawn cross-sections and labeled cutaways to stock photographs, with one exception: medical images stay real.

Notes

3hArtificial intelligence

The problem

A language model drafts the next step of a worked solution. How can a wrong step be stopped before anyone reads it?

The answer

Let the model propose and let code decide. A checker that computes the result accepts the step or sends it back.

  1. Write down what a correct step must satisfy.

    BecauseA rule that is written down can be checked by a program. A rule that lives only in a prompt cannot.

  2. Have the model return the step as typed fields: the claim, its numbers, its reason.

    BecauseCode can read fields without guessing. It cannot reliably read free prose.

  3. Check every number by computing it.

    BecauseArithmetic has one right answer, and a program finds it every time. A second model would be a second guess.

  4. When a step fails, ask once more, then use the step written by hand.

    BecauseOne bounded retry keeps the lesson moving, and an unchecked step is never shown.

The model proposes; the checker decides. A step that fails twice is replaced by the step written by hand.

Another way

Have a second model review the first.

BecauseIt catches what no rule covers, such as a confusing word or a reason that does not fit. It can be wrong too, so its verdict is advice, not a gate.

Check

For 8 + 5, the model proposes “eight needs three to make ten.” The checker computes 10 − 8 = 2 and rejects the step. The step written by hand is shown instead: eight needs two.

KeepLet the model propose. Let the code decide.

Intelligence at work

Igor Barani builds multi-agent systems in Rust, with every step observable and written rules for what each agent may do. He also builds and runs the infrastructure they need.

Notes

4hWith Every Reason

The problem

A child writes 8 + 5 = 13 but cannot say why. What is missing?

The answer

A reason for each step. Arithmetic is a chain of small claims, and each claim rests on one the child already knows.

  1. Eight needs two to make ten.

    BecauseEight and two make ten, a pair learned earlier.

  2. Take the two from the five. Three are left.

    BecauseFive is two and three.

  3. Ten and three is thirteen.

    BecauseOne ten and three ones are written 13.

Sticks and a bundle, as in the kit. Two sticks move from the five to finish the ten.

Another way

Fill the five instead. Five needs five to make ten, so take five from the eight; three are left. Ten and three is thirteen.

BecauseThe same pairs to ten do the work from the other side.

Check

Add in the other order: 5 + 8 = 13. Or count on from eight: nine, ten, eleven, twelve, thirteen.

KeepEight needs two. Ten and three is thirteen.

With Every Reason

With Every Reason is a series of mathematics books by Igor Barani, published by KAGU, LLC, under the line “Every answer, with a reason.” Every worked solution gives each step with its reason, in the manner of Andrei Kiselev's textbooks. Each new idea opens with a problem the child's present tools cannot finish, after the method of Vasily Davydov. A kit of wooden sticks and bundles comes with the books, so that the hands do each step before a word names it.

The series is planned as 21 books, from kindergarten through grade 12. The first books, kindergarten to grade 6, are in preparation.

This site is written the same way: the problem, the answer, the steps with their reasons, another way, a check, and one line to keep.

Notes

5hHealthcare

The problem

A clinic is busy 90% of the time, and its patients still wait. Why do waits grow so fast as a service nears full?

The answer

Waiting grows as ρ / (1 − ρ), where ρ is the share of time the service is busy. At 90% busy, a patient waits on average nine times as long as a visit takes. At 95%, nineteen times.

  1. Measure how busy the service is.

    BecauseThe share of time someone is being seen is the arrival rate divided by the rate at which visits finish. Queueing theory calls it the utilization, ρ.

  2. Model the simplest queue: random arrivals, visits of random length, one room.

    BecauseFor that queue the average wait in line is ρ / (1 − ρ) visit-lengths, and real clinics behave like it closely enough to show the shape.

  3. Put numbers in.

    BecauseAt 80% busy the wait is 4 visit-lengths, at 90% it is 9, and at 95% it is 19.

  4. See where the cost lands.

    BecauseGoing from 90% to 95% busy uses five more points of capacity and doubles the wait. The last few points cost the most.

Average wait in line, in visit-lengths, against the share of time the service is busy. The upper curve has visits of random length; the lower one, visits of fixed length.

Another way

Make visits regular instead of adding capacity.

BecauseWhen every visit takes the same time, the wait halves to ρ / (2(1 − ρ)). At 90% busy it falls from 9 visit-lengths to 4.5, with no new room and no new staff.

Check

Simulate it. A run of 360,000 patients at 90% busy gave an average wait of 9.3 visit-lengths. With fixed visit lengths, the same run gave 4.5.

KeepThe last few points of capacity cost the most waiting.

Healthcare at work

Igor Barani writes about healthcare from inside it, as a physician who also runs a department.

Notes

6hPractice

The problem

A tumor sits a few millimeters from a nerve. How can the tumor receive a lethal dose while the nerve receives almost none?

The answer

Aim beams from many directions, each too weak to harm what it crosses, and let them meet only at the tumor.

  1. Give the tumor an address.

    BecauseA point can be aimed at only after it has coordinates. A frame or a fitted mask fixes x, y and z to the head.

  2. Read the address from images.

    BecauseMRI and CT, registered to the frame, place the tumor and the nerve in the same coordinates.

  3. Aim many beams, each too weak to harm what it crosses.

    BecauseTissue along any one path receives only that beam's small share. The Gamma Knife Icon carries 192 cobalt-60 sources, in eight sectors of 24.

  4. Let the beams cross only at the tumor.

    BecauseDoses add where beams overlap. The point where all of them cross is called the isocenter, and it receives the full dose.

  5. Let the edge fall away steeply.

    BecauseOne step outside the crossing, fewer beams overlap, so the dose drops within a few millimeters. The nerve beside the tumor sits on that slope.

Axial section through the head, schematic. Sixteen beams are drawn; the Gamma Knife uses up to 192. The address is an example in Leksell coordinates.

Another way

Move one beam instead of fixing many. A linear accelerator sweeps its beam in arcs around the tumor, and the CyberKnife carries one beam on a robotic arm to many positions.

BecauseBoth keep the same geometry, many directions and one crossing. The directions are spread over time instead of over sources.

Check

If 192 beams each give 1/192 of the dose, they add to the whole dose where they all cross: 192 × 1/192 = 1. A point on one path alone receives 1/192, about half a percent. The arithmetic ignores scatter and attenuation.

KeepWeak on every path. Strong at the crossing.

The day job

Igor Barani treats only tumors of the brain and spine. His practice is neuro-oncology seen from radiation oncology, with the Gamma Knife, the CyberKnife and linear accelerators. At Barrow Neurological Institute in Phoenix he is Professor and Chairman of Radiation Oncology. His published work is listed on PubMed.

7hCorrespondence

Letters

Patients and referring physicians should contact Barrow Neurological Institute directly. Medical questions cannot be answered through this address.

Published work is listed on PubMed.

Colophon

Set in Doto, a dot-matrix typeface by Óliver Lalan, and Hanken Grotesk, by the Hanken Grotesk Project Authors. Star positions come from the Hipparcos-based catalog in d3-celestial by Olaf Frohn, for epoch J2000. The line on the opening page is computed in your browser from your device's clock: the local sidereal time in Phoenix, and the height of the first point of Aries above the horizon there, ignoring refraction. The pages run from 0h to 7h of right ascension, from the first point of Aries past the June solstice, and the chart follows the ecliptic as you turn them.

8hNotes

Notes

Notes and essays, each tagged to one hour of the chart. Each opens with a problem and its answer, gives every step its reason, and ends with a check and one line to keep.

0hOriginNoteDraft

The problem

The first point of Aries now lies in Pisces. Why does it keep its name?

The answer

The name now marks a job, and the job has not changed. The point is still the zero from which the sky is measured, whatever stars stand behind it.

  1. The point was named for the stars behind it.

    Becausein Hipparchus's day, about 130 BC, the Sun at the March equinox stood at the western edge of the Ram. Star charts still mark the point with the Ram's sign, ♈.

  2. The point slides west along the zodiac.

    BecauseEarth's axis wobbles like a spinning top and traces a full circle in about 26,000 years. That carries the equinox about one degree every 72 years.

  3. It left the Ram about sixty years after Hipparchus.

    Becauseby the constellation borders astronomers use today, it crossed into Pisces in 68 BC. The Sun now enters Pisces around March 12 and reaches Aries only around April 19. The point will cross into Aquarius in 2597.

  4. The name now stands for a definition, and the definition never mentions stars.

    Becausethe point is wherever the Sun crosses the celestial equator heading north. Right ascension, the sky's longitude, is counted from there. A new name would change no star's address.

  5. Maps kept an old sky name the same way.

    Becausethe Tropic of Cancer was named when the Sun stood in Cancer at the June solstice. Since 1990 the solstice Sun has stood in Taurus, and the line still marks the farthest north the Sun can pass overhead.

  6. Astronomers have since changed the anchor and kept the zero.

    Becausea drifting point makes a poor reference. Since 1998 the zero has been tied to distant quasars, which barely drift. It sits as close as possible to the equinox of 2000. Addresses written for 2000 still work.

Another way

Rename the point for where it lies now, the first point of Pisces.

Becausethe new name would be true for about six more centuries. In 2597 it would need changing again, and every chart written in between would carry a stale name. A name tied to a definition lasts longer than one tied to the view.

Check

Do the arithmetic. Along the Sun's path, Pisces is about 37.5 degrees wide. At one degree every 72 years, the point needs about 2,700 years to cross it. From 68 BC to AD 2597 is 2,664 years.

KeepA name can outlive its scenery.

All notes · Origin

1hTypographyNoteDraft

The problem

Why must 1, l and I look different in type for children?

The answer

A child tells characters apart by their differences and cannot yet lean on the words around them. So type for children gives each look-alike its own mark, such as a tail on the l or a flag on the 1.

  1. Many faces drawn for adults give I and l the same plain stroke, and the 1 only a small flag.

    Becauseadults read whole words, and the word decides which stroke is which. Alone, the strokes are a guess. In 1979 the General Conference on Weights and Measures allowed a capital L for the liter. A lowercase l is too easily read as a 1.

  2. A child needs the difference in the shape itself.

    BecauseEleanor Gibson and Anne Pick found that children learn letters by discovering the features that tell one from another. Two shapes that share every feature leave nothing to discover.

  3. Give I, l and 1 each a mark in a different place. The l gets a tail at its foot, the 1 a flag and a foot, the I serifs.

    Becauseno two then share an outline. In one test of road-sign type in poor visibility, adults often confused 1, I, l, i, j and f. The testers advised a bent foot on the l and a clear arm on the 1. Andika, a face made for beginning readers, keeps all three apart.

  4. Draw the zero narrower than the O.

    Becausewidth then tells them apart. Where it cannot, type designers add a dot or a slash to the zero and leave the letter alone.

  5. Leave the top of the 4 open.

    Becausechildren are usually taught to write it that way, in two strokes. The page should match the hand. The same reasoning gives children's books their single-story a and g.

Another way

Use ordinary type and let teaching do the rest.

Becausein tests with beginning readers, special forms such as the single-story a made no measurable difference. Words carry context. A lone 1 in a sum carries none, and that is where distinct forms earn their keep.

Check

Set I l 1 O 0 in a row, step back across the room, and name each one. If any two could trade places unnoticed, the face needs another mark.

KeepGive every character a mark no other has.

All notes · Typography

2hDesignNoteDraft

The problem

A figure looks sharp on the laptop and faint on the projector. What should change before the talk?

The answer

Leave margin for a hall that steals contrast and for eyes that miss color. Use dark ink, thick lines, colors that differ in lightness, and names on the lines.

  1. Expect the room to wash the screen out.

    Becausea projector cannot make black. Its black is the bare screen under the room's lights, so every lamp raises the black and lowers the contrast. If room light adds a tenth of the screen's white everywhere, for example, black on white falls from 21:1 to under 8:1.

  2. Give text and lines more contrast than the minimum.

    Becausethe web's accessibility guidelines, WCAG, ask for 4.5:1 for ordinary text and 3:1 for large text and chart lines, figured from the file's colors alone. In the example room, a gray that just passes at 4.5:1 drops to about 3.5:1.

  3. Draw lines at 2 points or more.

    Becausethe journal Nature asks for 0.25 to 1 point, which suits a page in the hand. From six screen-heights away, for example, a 1-point line on a slide 540 points tall spans about one minute of arc. That is the stroke width of the 20/20 line on an eye chart, and acuity falls with contrast.

  4. Choose colors that differ in lightness as well as hue.

    Becauseabout one man in twelve has a color vision deficiency, most often trouble telling red from green, and room light thins every color toward white. A difference in lightness survives both. On a white slide, pair a near-black with a middle tone, such as navy and vermillion. Each clears 3:1 against white.

  5. Write each name on its line.

    Becausea word needs no color vision, and WCAG asks that color never be the only signal. A reader who sees two lines as one hue can still tell which is which.

Another way

Vary the line itself, one solid and one dashed.

Becauseshape needs no color vision and survives a grayscale printer. Past two or three lines the patterns crowd, and labels do the work more quietly.

Check

Turn the slide to grayscale and stand back six times the height of the laptop screen. Every line should still show, each pair a different gray, each label easy to read. Lines that turn the same gray may look alike to a reader with red-green deficiency.

KeepDraw for the worst seat in the brightest room.

All notes · Design

3hArtificial intelligenceNoteDraft

The problem

An AI model reads a referral letter. In what form should it hand its answer to the code that acts on it?

The answer

As typed fields, such as a choice from a fixed list, a probability for each yes-or-no question, and a score on levels written out in words. Code can check each field and act on it without guessing what a sentence meant.

  1. Name the decisions the code must make.

    Becausecode can act only on answers it was built to expect. A clinic sorting referrals might ask three things. How soon should the patient be seen? Did images come with the letter? Is the letter complete enough to book?

  2. Give each decision a type.

    Becausea type fixes which answers are possible. Urgency is one of three words, urgent, soon or routine. Images get a probability from 0 to 1, and completeness a score from 1 to 4.

  3. Write each level of the score out in words.

    Becausea bare 3 means different things to different readers, and a model is one more reader. Here 1 is "no reason given," and each level adds one thing. 2 has a reason, 3 adds a history, and 4 adds test results. Anyone can hold a score up against its words.

  4. Ask for a probability wherever the question is yes or no.

    Becausethe code can set its own threshold, and move it later, without asking the model again. For example, a letter at 0.55 goes to a person, and one at 0.98 goes straight through.

  5. Check every field before acting on it.

    Becausea value outside its type is caught and sent back, and a valid one leads to exactly one action. Some model services can now hold a reply to a schema as it is written. That fixes the shape of an answer. It cannot make the answer true.

Another way

Let the model write a paragraph, and have code search it for key words.

Becauseit is quick to build. It breaks on the first summary that says "not urgent," which contains urgent, and again whenever the model's wording drifts. A middle way keeps one free-text field, the reason, for people to read.

Check

Test whether the probabilities mean what they say. Take 200 past letters the model scored near 0.8 for images. About 160 of them should have had images. If 195 did, or 120, set the threshold from that record. Models that state their own confidence tend to be overconfident.

KeepFields for code. Sentences for people.

All notes · Artificial intelligence

4hWith Every ReasonEssayDraft

The problem

Who sees why a child got it wrong?

The answer

Asked for 53 − 27, a child writes 34. Software can see that the answer is wrong. Seeing why takes a person who knows mathematics. The evidence points to that person, teaching plainly and without distraction, as what a child needs. Schools are short of such teachers, and screens now fill part of math class. My books try to put the reasons on the page for the adult beside the child.

I saw it first in medicine

A doctor used to learn much of what mattered by examining the patient. You looked, listened, pressed and tested, and your hands found what the story left out. That habit was thinning before the pandemic. Medical interns in 2012 spent about 12 percent of their time with patients and about 40 percent at a computer1. Abraham Verghese called the version of the patient who lives in the record the iPatient2.

Then the pandemic moved the visit itself onto a screen. Telehealth went from 0.15 percent of private insurance claim lines in April 2019 to 13 percent a year later3. It has since settled near 5 percent4. What stayed is the work that is mostly talk. Mental health accounts for about 62 percent of telehealth patients5. The specialties that need hands went back to the office6.

Video does some things well. At Mayo Clinic, video diagnoses matched later in-person diagnoses 87 percent of the time overall and 96 percent in psychiatry. For ear disease, where the doctor needs an otoscope, they matched 65 percent of the time7. New neurology patients seen virtually, mostly by video, were 2.2 times as likely to need a second assessment8.

One more finding from medicine matters for schools. When children’s own primary-care practices used telemedicine, they prescribed antibiotics less often than in person, with the same adherence to guidelines9. Commercial direct-to-consumer services gave children antibiotics at 52 percent of visits for respiratory infections, against 31 percent in primary-care offices10. The screen did better when the child’s own practice was holding it.

Then my daughter's school used i-Ready

I paid little attention to screens in schools until my daughter started at a private school that used i-Ready, a math program from Curriculum Associates. By the company’s account it reaches about a third of American students11. A child takes an adaptive test, which places her on a path of online lessons12. Each lesson has a tutorial, guided practice and a quiz, with characters the program calls Study Buddies. Passing work earns credits, which buy games13. The company recommends 45 minutes per subject per week, with the child passing at least 70 percent of lessons14.

My daughter struggled with it. So did we, her parents, when we tried to follow how it was teaching. The explanations were turgid and verbose, and the method was hard to see through the words. The lessons ran on stories, and the stories were boring. When she did not pass, it seemed to us that the path sent her back through the same lesson, or the one before it.

The company calls its test adaptive and its lessons personalized11,15. Its own documents describe what happens after a wrong turn. A wrong answer brings instructional feedback16. A student who fails a lesson can retake it. Repeated failures in one area raise an alert for the teacher. Once a student has not passed two lessons in a domain twice, instruction there “has been automatically turned off”15,17. Nothing in the documents I found claims the program works out why the child got the answer wrong. It changes the level and the pace. To us, the teaching itself seemed to come one way.

A program that acts only on whether a child failed can offer her more of what already failed. To me it looked like a sales job. It did not serve my daughter.

The evidence on whether it works is thin, and most of it comes from the seller. Education research measures effects in standard deviations, the usual spread of test scores, and most effects are small fractions of one. The strongest positive results for i-Ready, about a quarter of a standard deviation on state tests, come from studies the company wrote or paid for18,19. In one, a single lesson counted as using the program18. In another, the comparison group, who took only the i-Ready test, started well ahead and needed heavy statistical weighting19.

The one independent, peer-reviewed study was funded by the federal Institute of Education Sciences. It found about 0.04 standard deviations on the MAP Growth test, roughly two extra weeks of instruction, and its authors call the analysis descriptive rather than causal20. A federal randomized trial that included i-Ready was ended in February 2025 without results12,21. Across math technology, measured effects shrink as studies get more rigorous, from about 0.20 in quasi-experiments to 0.08 in randomized trials22. Even a co-author of the most favorable study said the evidence is “certainly not a sufficient evidence base to just blanket adopt i-Ready”11.

To be fair, 0.04 is positive, and nothing shows the product harms children. It is a small gain for the classroom time the program costs.

What a wrong answer says

Children’s mistakes in arithmetic are rarely random. Many come from a rule the child believes. In one large collection of multi-column subtraction work, the five most common faulty rules accounted for 45 percent of all errors23.

Go back to the 34. A teacher can see where it came from. In the ones column the child took 3 from 7, because 7 − 3 is a subtraction she knows and 3 − 7 is one she cannot do. In the tens column she took 2 from 5. Smaller from larger, in each column. Every digit has a reason. The rule is wrong.

Figure 1In this example the child's 34 follows one rule, the smaller digit from the larger in each column. The sticks show what the rule skips, opening a bundle of ten so that seven ones can be taken away and 26 remain.

Repeating the lesson may not reach that rule. The child can apply it again, faithfully, and fail again. What reaches it is a question about the ones column and a bundle of ten sticks opened on the table. A teacher who sees the 34 knows which lesson to give. A pass or fail score does not.

I should be careful here. The research does not show that software which diagnoses the faulty rule beats simple reteaching. In one small study, a tutor that diagnosed subtraction errors reduced them more, yet test scores did not rise significantly more than with a tutor that did not diagnose24. What the research does show is where the diagnosis lives when educational technology works. ASSISTments, an online homework program, gave seventh graders in Maine immediate feedback and gave their teachers a report of the common wrong answers to go over in class. In a randomized trial, their standardized-test scores were 0.18 standard deviations higher, and 0.29 higher for students at or below the median25. In Delhi, a program that paired 45 minutes of adaptive software with 45 minutes of small-group teaching gained 0.37 standard deviations on independent tests, though not on school exams26. In each success the software worked beside a teacher. The federal practice guide for struggling students makes a related point about practice drills. It “does not recommend merely giving students timed worksheets or putting students on a computer-based program without supporting their learning”27.

What changed in ten years, and what did not

It would be convenient to say the iPad arrived and the scores fell. The data do not allow it. On the national assessment, eighth-grade math peaked in 2013, at 284. It had slipped to 281 by 2019, then fell to 273 in 2022 and 272 in 202428. The slide began years before a device for every child became the norm. That happened in 2020 and 2021, when 84 percent of districts gave a device to every elementary student and 90 percent to every secondary student29. A device for every child did not start the decline.

The pandemic then took eight points off eighth-grade math in three years, and remote school made the loss worse where children had least. In high-poverty districts that stayed remote, students lost just under 40 percent of a school year in math. In districts that stayed open, they lost about 15 percent30. Remote learning still explains only part of the national fall, and researchers disagree on how large a part31.

Screens did not replace teachers either, if you count heads. Public schools added about 32,000 teachers between the 2018–19 and 2021–22 school years, while enrollment fell 2.6 percent32. The job lost standing. In 2024 teachers earned 26.9 percent less in weekly wages than comparable college graduates, a record gap33. In 2025 about one teaching position in eight was empty or held by someone not fully certified, and 40 states reported shortages in math34.

So the change I worry about is harder to count. Software took a share of class time, about 45 minutes a week in math by the vendor’s recommendation14. With it went some control over what a child is taught next. Parents and teachers describe a path whose order they cannot control, and one parent calls it a black box11. No national data measure how much math time moved from teachers to screens. I can say only what I saw.

In the recovery, California districts that spent relief money on tutoring and summer school gained the most. Thomas Kane, who studies the recovery, put it plainly. “We can’t just ask teachers to talk faster”35. What helped was more time with people.

The case for plain teaching

On several points the research is clear. In 2021 the federal What Works Clearinghouse rated all six of its recommendations for students who struggle in math as supported by strong evidence. They call for explicit, systematic instruction and precise mathematical language. They call for well-chosen objects and pictures, the number line, structured teaching of word problems, and brief timed practice once a concept is understood27.

Worked examples, studied before solving problems alone, have a medium-sized effect across ages, about 0.48 standard deviations36. Unassisted discovery does worse than explicit teaching (−0.38), while discovery with strong guidance beats other methods (+0.30)37. Struggling with a problem before instruction helps older students, but the same body of studies favors instruction first in grades 2 to 538.

The reason underneath is working memory. A child can hold only a few new things at once, and everything else on the page takes a share. That is why plain materials usually beat rich ones. Bland manipulatives helped problem solving (0.80), while perceptually rich ones hurt it (−0.27), though the rich ones did better on transfer to new problems39. Children given realistic paper money solved fewer money problems than children given plain black-and-white bills, and fewer than children given nothing at all40.

Interesting but irrelevant additions, such as jokes, stories and decoration, lower learning by about a third of a standard deviation across 58 studies41. Psychologists call them seductive details, and the harm tends to be greater for learners with little prior knowledge or less working memory42. Kindergartners in a heavily decorated lab classroom were off task 38.6 percent of the time, against 28.4 percent in a bare one, and scored 42 percent on tests against 55. That study had only 24 children43. No one has tested i-Ready’s characters or stories directly. They fit the definition of seductive detail, though, and young children have the least prior knowledge of anyone in the classroom.

Words and numbers grow up together

A child learns the language of mathematics at the same time as the mathematics, and each leans on the other. Chinese, Japanese and Korean name eleven “ten-one.” Children who speak them build numbers from tens and ones more readily than English speakers do44. The head start is real, small and temporary. It faded once English-speaking children were shown ten-cubes, and it was gone by grades 3 and 445,46. English has its own trap, because “fourteen” says the ones before the ten. German says twenty-four as “four-and-twenty,” and German first graders’ errors with that reversal predicted weaker math in third grade47.

For number skills, the words a child knows for mathematics seem to matter more than her general vocabulary. When preschoolers’ mathematical language and general language were measured together, only the mathematical language still predicted their number skills48. Wordy problems cost children who are still learning English49, and simplifying the wording helps only a little, about three percent on rewritten test items50. Teaching the language of problems shows larger effects. At-risk first graders taught the structure of word problems along with the language that carries it scored 1.75 standard deviations above controls on word problems, against 1.08 for structure alone51. Keyword tricks, such as “altogether means add,” have no research behind them52.

Working memory is where language and mathematics meet. Across studies, language and math correlate at about 0.42, and working memory and intelligence account for more than half of that link53. Word problems dressed in stories are more closely tied to working memory than problems stated purely in mathematics54. A child who must hold a story, a cartoon and an unfamiliar word has less left for the arithmetic.

Why a new series

A teacher’s specialized knowledge of mathematics for teaching was the strongest teacher-level predictor of young children’s gains, while certification and years of experience were not55. Yet training teachers in content has had little effect on student achievement in rigorous trials, and tutoring has had the most consistent effect, about 0.2056. The knowledge matters, and it is hard to train. So the materials may have to carry more of it.

My daughter’s struggle is why I wrote a new series. I grew up with mathematics taught with simplicity and focus, and without distraction. I love that style, and I wanted her to have it. The series puts a reason beside every step, and its tagline is “Every answer, with a reason.” It draws on three traditions.

Vasily Davydov’s curriculum starts before numbers. Children compare lengths, areas and masses, write the relations with letters, and model them with strips and line segments. Number arrives later, as how many times a unit fits into a quantity57. Andrei Kiselev’s textbooks, the standard Soviet texts for nearly two decades58, followed his rule of “precision, simplicity, conciseness”59. One reviewer wrote of the English edition of his geometry that nothing in it “may even occasionally distract from the subject”60. Singapore’s curriculum moves from objects to pictures to symbols and draws word problems as bars61,62. Berinderjeet Kaur, one of its leading teacher educators, advises teachers to introduce few models and to use them consistently63.

Figure 2Each panel shows one relation, two parts making a whole, so that taking one part away leaves the other. Davydov's children meet it as lengths and letters. The Singapore bar puts numbers on it, and the written step in Kiselev's manner gives its reason.

The three share what I care about most. Each puts one idea in front of the child, says it precisely and leaves out everything else. Focus has correlational evidence of its own. High-performing countries plan far fewer topics in the early grades. In grades 1 to 3 they plan three, three and seven, against fourteen, fifteen and eighteen in a composite of American states64.

In With Every Reason, a new word enters only after the child’s hands have done the thing it names. The child’s own words come first, and the precise word follows. “You said take away. It is also called subtract.” The words stay the same from book to book. No study has tested whether everyday or formal words should come first. The order is my judgment.

Davydov’s curriculum has been studied in single schools and design projects, with striking demonstrations and no randomized trial57,65. Kiselev’s books have no comparative studies at all, and one historian argues his name became a legend for the good old days66. Singapore leads the world on international tests, but its curriculum shows small effects when it travels without its teachers. A randomized trial of a US version in Nevada found 0.11 to 0.15 standard deviations, and trials of a Singapore-inspired program in England found 0.0867,68. Singapore has recruited its teachers selectively, paid them during training and given them about 100 hours of professional development a year62. About 80 percent of its primary pupils were also in private tuition in 201669. Most of Singapore’s lead probably lies in its system, above all its teachers.

A simple book will not teach a child by itself. It can put the reasons on the page, in plain words and plain pictures, so that the adult beside the child has them. That makes the teacher’s job easier and the parent’s job possible. It is what I hope these books can do.

Check

Math scores began falling in 2013, years before every child had a device. Schools had more teachers per student in 2022 than before the pandemic. Some educational technology works, and i-Ready’s independent estimate is small and positive. No randomized trial I found has compared teacher-led classes with adaptive software head to head in the elementary grades. The evidence for Davydov and Kiselev is thin, and Singapore’s success probably belongs mostly to its system, led by its teachers.

What would change my mind is the trial that has not been run. Assign children at random to two groups. Give one group the i-Ready minutes and the other the same minutes in a small group with a teacher, then measure both on a test the vendor did not write. If the software matches the teacher, I am wrong about the software.

KeepThe screen sees wrong. A teacher sees why.

References

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  14. Petrides School. Family guide to i-Ready, quoting the company's recommendation. PDF
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  29. Education Week 2022. The shift to one-to-one computing, in charts. edweek.org
  30. Goldhaber, Kane et al. 2022, NBER Working Paper 30010. Remote schooling and achievement gaps. PDF
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All notes · With Every Reason

4hWith Every ReasonNoteDraft

The problem

Why should a new idea in mathematics start with a problem the child cannot yet finish?

The answer

An idea makes sense as the answer to a question. When a problem first defeats the child's present tools, the child feels the need, and the idea arrives to meet it. The Soviet psychologist Vasily Davydov called such a problem a learning task.

  1. Begin with a problem the child can almost do. Will the new sofa fit through the door?

    Becausethe child already has a method, putting two things side by side, and trusts it.

  2. Let that method fail. The door cannot be carried to the sofa.

    Becausein the theory Davydov built with Daniil Elkonin, a learning task is a situation where the old way of acting falls short. The child must then look for a general way to solve a whole class of problems.

  3. Let the child find a go-between. A string cut to the door's width can travel to the sofa.

    Becausea third thing equal to one length can be laid against the other. In an American version of Davydov's first-grade lessons, the lengths are drawn on the wall, where they cannot be moved, and the children invent the go-between.

  4. Let the string fail too. Now the sofa is in a shop across town, and the question comes by phone.

    Becausea string cannot be read aloud, and a count can. The door is nine hand-spans wide, for example. Davydov's curriculum introduces number through measurement, as how many times a unit fits into a quantity.

  5. Only now name the ideas of unit, measure and number.

    Becauseeach name then lands on something the child has done and needed. Whose hand to measure with is the next learning task.

Another way

Start from the ruler. Teach inches, then measure the door.

Becauseit is faster and works on the problems in the book. Its weakness shows later. Researchers in Davydov's school observe that solving one practical problem correctly does not protect a child from mistakes on the next of the same kind.

Check

Before teaching anything new, finish the sentence "Without this idea, the child cannot yet …". If it has no ending, there is no learning task yet. Later, ask the child why the idea exists. A child who met the problem first answers with it, "So we can tell how wide the door is without carrying it."

KeepThe need first. Then the idea.

All notes · With Every Reason

5hHealthcareNoteDraft

The problem

Every hour on an operating room's schedule is booked. Why does the room still stand empty?

The answer

A block holds the room for one team whether or not that team has a patient for it. A release rule hands back the unfilled time by a set deadline, so another team can use it.

  1. Count used time apart from booked time.

    Becausea block reserves an operating room, an MRI scanner or a radiation treatment machine for one team at a set time. The schedule shows it as taken even when it sits empty. Block utilization divides the minutes used by the minutes allocated.

  2. Treat an empty hour as lost.

    Becausethe time of a room or a machine cannot be stored. An hour the scanner stands idle on Tuesday cannot be added to Wednesday.

  3. Work an example.

    Becausethe gap is easy to miss when every slot on the schedule carries a name. For example, a room open 40 hours a week is blocked to one team, which uses 28. The room is fully booked and 70% used. Twelve hours a week stand empty.

  4. Release what is still empty at a deadline.

    Becausethe team that holds the block knows its own patients best, so it keeps first claim. After the deadline the time goes to teams with patients waiting. Many rules release time 72 hours before the day, and some a week before.

  5. Set the deadline by how late each kind of work is booked.

    Becauseurgent cases arrive late. A study at one hospital found that vascular surgeons booked more cases inside 48 hours than any other division. A 72-hour rule passes before those cases are known.

Another way

Give each team the hours it uses, and open the rest to everyone from the start.

Becausea team that uses 28 hours a week rarely needs 40 held for it. A study of two surgical suites found that the release deadline made little difference to efficiency, and its authors advised getting the allocation right first.

Check

Follow the example's 40 hours through a 72-hour release. Suppose the team booked its 28 hours before the deadline, so all 12 empty hours are released, and other teams fill 6. Used time rises from 28 to 34 hours, or from 70% to 85%, in the same room with the same staff. The team used 28 hours, other teams 6, and 6 stayed empty, which makes 40.

KeepBooked is a promise. Used is a patient.

All notes · Healthcare